Now that we have 4 seasons of history to look at in the Millennium League (MBL) I thought it might be interesting to take a look at how one players real life stats compared with our Dynasty league. When I came up with this idea for a post I knew right away that I didn't want it to be a player that I have owned on my team, or that I really liked when said player played. I thought for a while and Derek Jeter's name kept popping in my head. For some reason for me Jeter never was one of those stand out players for me. Everyone seemed to love him, specially Yankee fans, but to me he was just a shortstop on the "Evil Empire" Yankees squad. We are not really here to debate whether or not Jeter was any good when he played. We are here to compare real life vs Dynasty life.
Mike C the creator of the crazy baseball simulator we all love to hate, and love again, prides his game to be one of the most realistic baseball games on the market. He goes through each player stats and puts outcomes based on dice rolls 0-999. He has done this for many years, and we always wonder if he got it right when our big bopper clutch player comes to the plate only to strikeout. When asked Mike and any other stat head with say "meh, small sample, it happens."
Real Life | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2000 | 148 | 593 | 119 | 201 | 31 | 4 | 15 | 73 | 68 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 0.339 | 0.416 | 0.481 |
Dyansty | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2000 | 160 | 681 | 109 | 220 | 34 | 6 | 15 | 80 | 75 | 134 | 18 | 6 | 0.323 | 0.394 | 0.457 |
2000 season Dynasty's 1st year. Boy if I only knew what I knew now. Anyway, Jeter was taken #9 in the first round of the 2000 draft by the Minnesota Millers. Derek had more Runs, and more stolen bases in real life than his Dynasty counterpart. However, Jeter played 12 more games in Dynasty than real life, and those 12 games show up in his numbers in Dynasty. AB's (+88), hits(+10), doubles(+3), triples(+2), RBI's(+7), walks(+7), and strikeouts(+35). While Jeters numbers for the most part went up, he became a less efficient card for Walt. His AVG was down, OBP down, and SLG down. I would have to say to have gotten the most out of Jeter that year Walt should have maybe sat Jeter more than playing in 160 games. I'm not crying for Walt as Jeter had a fine year in the MBL, I'm just pointing out that due to his increased usage his numbers fell. I'm thinking Jeter must of had some small injury that year in real life hence the "C" injury rating on his card.
Conclusion: UNDER PREFORM CARD
2001
Real Life | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2001 | 150 | 614 | 110 | 191 | 35 | 3 | 21 | 74 | 56 | 99 | 27 | 3 | 0.311 | 0.377 | 0.480 |
Dyansty | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2001 | 159 | 656 | 106 | 200 | 48 | 7 | 16 | 75 | 58 | 137 | 26 | 9 | 0.305 | 0.371 | 0.473 |
2001 our second season. Walt got his wish and got to draft the mighty Albert Poljos for his squad with the number one pick overall. As the 2001 season got under way Jeter was having a horrible start only hitting .169 in 21 games. That was enough for Walt to pull the trigger and send Jetter packing to NY and the Bombers. Jetter played 84 games for the Bombers when "Crazy Trading" Larry sent him to the land of misfit toys Milwaukee. Where Jeter still resides to this day. Jeter had more AB's, Hits, Doubles, Triples, RBI's, Walks, and Strikeouts in Dynasty than in real life. This time Jeter only had 9 more games played in Dynasty than in real life. However, Jeter's card did not live up to expectations again it the AVG, OBP, and SLG categories. Only 2 more walks in Dynasty than real life (hurt the OBP), and looking at how many more doubles he had in Dynasty I thought for sure his SLG would have been greater in Dynasty. Again all 3 stats were worse than his card.
Conclusion: UNDER PREFORMING CARD
Real Life | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2002 | 157 | 644 | 124 | 191 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 73 | 114 | 32 | 3 | 0.297 | 0.373 | 0.421 |
Dyansty | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2002 | 161 | 662 | 112 | 173 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 53 | 72 | 137 | 43 | 14 | 0.261 | 0.339 | 0.346 |
2002: Things were not good for Jeter in Milwaukee in 2002. Not much on the roster at that time could him him and his numbers. However, this is where Dynasty has it's doubters. While his numbers were down across the board his AVG and OBP really stand out to me. Those are not numbers depending on who is on base or who is behind them in the order. Jeters average plummeted to .261 from real life number of .297. That is a big drop! He also struckout a heck of a lot more with 137 K's on the year. Looking at the card and seeing the 2002 season results Mike C must have screwed up this card, bad.
Conclusion: WAY UNDER PREFORMING CARD
Real Life | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2003 | 119 | 482 | 87 | 156 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 88 | 11 | 5 | 0.324 | 0.393 | 0.450 |
Dyansty | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | BA | OBP | SLG |
2003 | 142 | 603 | 109 | 184 | 31 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 43 | 137 | 12 | 6 | 0.305 | 0.366 | 0.439 |
On to the last year of 2003.
This is another year where Jeter played in a lot more games in Dynasty than in real life (142-119). So, all his individual numbers may look higher than real life, but Jeter was worse in the averages department. What did I really learn about do this exercise? Jeter is a strikeout monster. and in Dynasty that shows up all the time. Jeter's average while over .300 for the Dynasty league was down almost 20 points from real life, also his OBP was down almost 30 points.
Conclusion: ANOTHER UNDER PERFORMING CARD
While some of Jeters individual numbers were close to the real life numbers that Jeter put up, his averages were way off and down. When I look at my team the Stonecutters I get impatient. What have you done for me lately syndrome. I was hoping by doing this post it would teach me to be more patient when evaluating players. Now it just makes me think that long time players with good stats through out their career are going to under preform. It was my case with Scott Rolen, now Jason Kendall, and a few others. If I can get the player to perform close to their real life numbers I'm a happy man. It's get frustrating when they don't produce those number over a season.
Let me know over email or in the comments below what players you feel fit in this situation for your team or you've noticed on someones team.
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